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980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
67,809
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 2 hr ago
102 questions
ShowAllSingle MarketsMulti-OutcomeConsensus 2+
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PlatformAll PlatformsGeminiManifold MarketsPolymarketPredictIt
S
Sum (Int( trillion dollar)) market cap companies — >24.5 at end of 2026/04
13%
Manifold
13%
financeManifold41 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of April 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 6700
67%
Manifold
67%
financeManifold16 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2027?
71%
Manifold
71%
financeManifold11 traders
E
Effective Altruism stock [permanent]
70%
Manifold
70%
financeManifold22 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 8500
5%
Manifold
5%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 9000
2%
Manifold
2%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 11,000
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold17 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 12,000
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold17 traders
W
What day of the week will be the next >=5% change in the S&P 500? (After April 9 2025) — Thursday
17%
Manifold
17%
financeManifold12 traders
W
What day of the week will be the next >=5% change in the S&P 500? (After April 9 2025) — Friday
17%
Manifold
17%
financeManifold12 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of April 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 5500
99%
Manifold
99%
financeManifold16 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of April 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 5700
98%
Manifold
98%
financeManifold16 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of April 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 5900
98%
Manifold
98%
financeManifold16 traders
W
What prices will the S&P 500 hit before it hits 6,000 again? — 8,000
34%
Manifold
34%
financeManifold27 traders
W
What prices will the S&P 500 hit before it hits 6,000 again? — 10,000
15%
Manifold
15%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 8000
9%
Manifold
9%
financeManifold27 traders
W
What prices will the S&P 500 hit before it hits 6,000 again? — 9,000
20%
Manifold
20%
financeManifold27 traders
S
Sum (Int( trillion dollar)) market cap companies — >21.5 at end of 2026/05
45%
Manifold
45%
financeManifold41 traders
S
Sum (Int( trillion dollar)) market cap companies — >22.5 at end of 2026/05
41%
Manifold
41%
financeManifold41 traders
W
What day of the week will be the next >=5% change in the S&P 500? (After April 9 2025) — Monday
31%
Manifold
31%
financeManifold12 traders
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