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980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,266
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 1 hr ago
141 questions
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S
Sum (Int( trillion dollar)) market cap companies — >24.5 at end of 2026/04
13%
Manifold
13%
financeManifold41 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 12,000
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold17 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 13,000
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold17 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 14,000
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold17 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 15,000
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold17 traders
T
Tesla Stock hits $575 before $300
46%
Manifold
46%
financeManifold14 traders
A
Another company surpasses NVDA's market cap by end of 2026?
67%
Manifold
67%
financeManifold13 traders
W
Will OpenSea join the S&P 500?
13%
Manifold
13%
financeManifold12 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2026?
46%
Manifold
46%
financeManifold11 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 8500
5%
Manifold
5%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 9000
2%
Manifold
2%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 6000
79%
Manifold
79%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 8000
9%
Manifold
9%
financeManifold27 traders
W
What prices will the S&P 500 hit before it hits 6,000 again? — 9,000
20%
Manifold
20%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will TSLA a reach a 6 trillion dollar market cap before 2031?
19%
Manifold
19%
financeManifold29 traders
W
What prices will the S&P 500 hit before it hits 6,000 again? — 12,000
12%
Manifold
12%
financeManifold27 traders
W
What prices will the S&P 500 hit before it hits 6,000 again? — 100,000
7%
Manifold
7%
financeManifold27 traders
[
[ACX 2026] Will the S&P 500 close above 7,500 at the end of 2026?
32%
Manifold
32%
financeManifold22 traders
2
2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today
16%
Manifold
16%
financeManifold23 traders
W
Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
2%
Manifold
2%
financeManifold46 traders
←45678→
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