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OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus.

Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,934
Markets
Data refreshed 3 hr ago
2,532 questions
Consensus 2+
W
Will manifold reintroduce real money betting by 2026?
15%
Manifold
15%
otherManifold25 traders
W
Will North Korea and South Korea be unified with a formula like 'one country, two systems' by 2030?
11%
Manifold
11%
otherManifold25 traders
W
Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2030?
15%
Manifold
15%
otherManifold25 traders
W
Will Hugh Jackman appear in "Avengers: Secret Wars"?
48%
Manifold
48%
otherManifold23 traders
W
Will I get into MCSP 2026?
31%
Manifold
31%
otherManifold13 traders
W
Will Brent crude close above 100/barrel at the end of the following months? — October 2026
32%
Manifold
32%
otherManifold16 traders
W
Will 100 People Bet On This Market?
37%
Manifold
37%
otherManifold13 traders
K
Kimi K3 (Moonshot) release date — Before May 2026
51%
Manifold
51%
otherManifold23 traders
K
Kimi K3 (Moonshot) release date — Before June 2026
85%
Manifold
85%
otherManifold23 traders
W
Will historians say that WW3 started by 2023?
14%
Manifold
14%
otherManifold24 traders
W
Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2039?
92%
Manifold
92%
otherManifold24 traders
I
Is Satoshi Nakamoto alive?
48%
Manifold
48%
otherManifold24 traders
W
What will be the best Remote Labor Index score by Dec 31, 2026? — 30-40%
17%
Manifold
17%
otherManifold22 traders
W
Will Bethesda publicly release The Elder Scrolls VI before 2027?
5%
Manifold
5%
otherManifold58 traders
W
Will chess be solved by 2040?
9%
Manifold
9%
otherManifold243 traders
W
Will 15 or more starship and super-heavy launches be required for Artemis 3?
7%
Manifold
7%
otherManifold22 traders
W
Will I make USACO Camp 2026?
93%
Manifold
93%
otherManifold19 traders
W
Will AI wipe out humanity by the year 2080
12%
Manifold
12%
otherManifold24 traders
W
Will Arsenal finish 2nd place in the 2025–2026 season?
12%
Manifold
12%
otherManifold23 traders
R
Richard Yang sells out to computer science at MIT by end of April 2026?
40%
Manifold
40%
otherManifold21 traders
←23456→
Odds Raven

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