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OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus.

Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,266
Markets
Data refreshed 3 hr ago
2,583 questions
Consensus 2+
W
What will be the best Remote Labor Index score by Dec 31, 2026? — 30-40%
17%
Manifold
17%
otherManifold22 traders
W
What will be the best Remote Labor Index score by Dec 31, 2026? — 40-50%
11%
Manifold
11%
otherManifold22 traders
W
What will be the best Remote Labor Index score by Dec 31, 2026? — 50-60%
7%
Manifold
7%
otherManifold22 traders
W
What will be the best Remote Labor Index score by Dec 31, 2026? — 60-70%
6%
Manifold
6%
otherManifold22 traders
W
What will be the best Remote Labor Index score by Dec 31, 2026? — 70-80%
5%
Manifold
5%
otherManifold22 traders
W
Will Bethesda publicly release The Elder Scrolls VI before 2027?
5%
Manifold
5%
otherManifold58 traders
W
Will chess be solved by 2040?
9%
Manifold
9%
otherManifold243 traders
R
Richard Yang sells out to computer science at MIT by end of April 2026?
40%
Manifold
40%
otherManifold21 traders
W
Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2040?
93%
Manifold
93%
otherManifold21 traders
H
How many points will the winner of the chess 2026 candidates tournament receive? — >=9.5
89%
Manifold
89%
otherManifold19 traders
H
How many points will the winner of the chess 2026 candidates tournament receive? — 8
1%
Manifold
1%
otherManifold19 traders
H
How many points will the winner of the chess 2026 candidates tournament receive? — <=7.5
0%
Manifold
0%
otherManifold19 traders
W
Will the USA dissolve by 2034?
5%
Manifold
5%
otherManifold21 traders
I
Iran leadership change by...? — April 30
13%
Manifold
13%
otherManifold21 traders
I
Iran leadership change by...? — May 31
21%
Manifold
21%
otherManifold21 traders
I
Iran leadership change by...? — August 31
37%
Manifold
37%
otherManifold21 traders
I
Iran leadership change by...? — Oct 31
46%
Manifold
46%
otherManifold21 traders
I
Iran leadership change by...? — April 15
5%
Manifold
5%
otherManifold21 traders
I
Iran leadership change by...? — May 15
18%
Manifold
18%
otherManifold21 traders
W
Will anyone break the Apollo 13 crew's record for furthest people from Earth before 2030?
99%
Manifold
99%
otherManifold21 traders
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