OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus.

Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,266
Markets
Data refreshed 3 hr ago
2,583 questions
Consensus 2+
H
Harvey AI publicly announces $200M+ ARR by EOY2026?
78%
Manifold
78%
otherManifold20 traders
W
Will AI wipe out Manifold by 2030?
7%
Manifold
7%
otherManifold21 traders
W
Will anyone but Netanyahu be Isreali PM before the end of 2029
85%
Manifold
85%
otherManifold21 traders
Before when will SLS be cancelled? — 2027
18%
Manifold
18%
otherManifold21 traders
Before when will SLS be cancelled? — 2028
61%
Manifold
61%
otherManifold21 traders
Before when will SLS be cancelled? — 2029
77%
Manifold
77%
otherManifold21 traders
W
Will any of the following Western countries' legislatures be majority controlled by explicitly fascist or communist political parties before 2030?
24%
Manifold
24%
otherManifold21 traders
W
Will WW3 begin before 2040?
37%
Manifold
37%
otherManifold21 traders
W
Will the UK introduce mandatory conscription for any portion of its population before 2030?
16%
Manifold
16%
otherManifold21 traders
W
Will Elon Musk ever walk on Mars?
12%
Manifold
12%
otherManifold148 traders
W
Will Vladimir Putin ever visit Europe?
33%
Manifold
33%
otherManifold16 traders
W
Will Elon Musk travel to space by 2035?
61%
Manifold
61%
otherManifold16 traders
W
Will the WWE have their first openly transgender active wrestler by the end of 2026?
7%
Manifold
7%
otherManifold16 traders
B
By when will Wikipedia remove Gaza from "list of genocides"? — Before 2035
20%
Manifold
20%
otherManifold16 traders
N
Nothing Ever Happens 2026
39%
Manifold
39%
otherManifold16 traders
W
Will AI automate all remote jobs that do not require a legal person by Jan 1st 2027?
6%
Manifold
6%
otherManifold21 traders
W
Will it be revealed that Big Mom is still alive before the end of One Piece?
61%
Manifold
61%
otherManifold21 traders
W
Will my US History Teacher send me to detention for finishing our work booklet early?
57%
Manifold
57%
otherManifold21 traders
W
Will China bomb any country by the end of 2026?
12%
Manifold
12%
otherManifold21 traders
W
Will Banksy's identity become public and beyond doubt by 2030?
70%
Manifold
70%
otherManifold21 traders
45678
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