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OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus.

Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
72,186
Markets
Data refreshed 2 hr ago
2,597 questions
Consensus 2+
W
Will there be a crewed mission to Saturn before 2045?
10%
Manifold
10%
otherManifold13 traders
S
Starmer out before Badenoch?
54%
Manifold
54%
otherManifold13 traders
W
Will J.K Rowling publish a new Harry Potter book ?
26%
Manifold
26%
otherManifold13 traders
W
Will a crossing of the Strait of Hormuz, between Iran and Oman or UAE, have started construction by 2040?
38%
Manifold
38%
otherManifold13 traders
T
The United States federal gov will institute a Selective Service Draft by End of 2026
12%
Manifold
12%
otherManifold13 traders
P
Poland: Konfederacja more popular than PiS in 2026?
15%
Manifold
15%
otherManifold13 traders
W
Will Israel exist two years from now?
98%
Manifold
98%
otherManifold13 traders
W
Will over 5000 Gazans be killed by the IDF in 2026?
43%
Manifold
43%
otherManifold13 traders
W
Will I get into Clark Scholars?
19%
Manifold
19%
otherManifold16 traders
T
Total cases of measles reported in US during 2026 — x ≥ 3500
74%
Manifold
74%
otherManifold48 traders
W
Will humanity wipe out AI?
10%
Manifold
10%
otherManifold13 traders
D
Does rapamyacin significantly increase the lifespan of dogs?
70%
Manifold
70%
otherManifold13 traders
F
Fatal Canadian airliner incident by end of 2027?
100%
Manifold
100%
otherManifold13 traders
W
Will North Korea attack South Korea's outlying islands, causing fatalities, before 2030?
23%
Manifold
23%
otherManifold16 traders
W
When will Polymarket start charging a fee? — Before the end of Mar 2026
74%
Manifold
74%
otherManifold13 traders
W
When will Polymarket start charging a fee? — Before the end of June 2026
75%
Manifold
75%
otherManifold13 traders
W
When will Polymarket start charging a fee? — Before the end of Sep 2026
75%
Manifold
75%
otherManifold13 traders
W
When will Polymarket start charging a fee? — Before the end of Dec 2026
76%
Manifold
76%
otherManifold13 traders
W
When will Polymarket start charging a fee? — Before the end of 2027
81%
Manifold
81%
otherManifold13 traders
W
When will Polymarket start charging a fee? — Before the end of 2028
83%
Manifold
83%
otherManifold13 traders
←56789→
Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

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