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OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus.

Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,934
Markets
Data refreshed 4 hr ago
2,532 questions
Consensus 2+
W
Will less than 30% of US adults be obese by EOY 2030?
28%
Manifold
28%
otherManifold19 traders
W
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be found to have committed fraud before 2030?
6%
Manifold
6%
otherManifold137 traders
W
Will CSK win IPL 2026
8%
Manifold
8%
otherManifold11 traders
W
Will Mr Beast have a video with 1 billion views by the end of 2026?
22%
Manifold
22%
otherManifold23 traders
W
Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075?
71%
Manifold
71%
otherManifold23 traders
W
Will I be vegan for the remainder of 2026?
89%
Manifold
89%
otherManifold22 traders
W
Will a posthumous deathbed UFO confession from Jimmy Carter be revealed within a year of his passing?
2%
Manifold
2%
otherManifold23 traders
W
Will Argentina adopt the US Dollar by 2029?
16%
Manifold
16%
otherManifold149 traders
I
I will resolve this however I want to
60%
Manifold
60%
otherManifold48 traders
W
Will Thomas leave next?
23%
Manifold
23%
otherManifold18 traders
W
Will Hamas “disarm and relinquish power” in Gaza?
17%
Manifold
17%
otherManifold47 traders
W
Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040?
45%
Manifold
45%
otherManifold23 traders
H
How many people will attend Slutcon 2026? — 401-450
3%
Manifold
3%
otherManifold47 traders
W
When will the US and China be at war? (Unlinked, permanent) — 2025
2%
Manifold
2%
otherManifold23 traders
W
When will the US and China be at war? (Unlinked, permanent) — 2026
10%
Manifold
10%
otherManifold23 traders
W
When will the US and China be at war? (Unlinked, permanent) — 2028
18%
Manifold
18%
otherManifold23 traders
W
When will the US and China be at war? (Unlinked, permanent) — 2029
21%
Manifold
21%
otherManifold23 traders
W
Will prediction markets be formally integrated into a government's political system before 2040? 📜🏛️⚖️📊
42%
Manifold
42%
otherManifold22 traders
W
Will the CDC report twice as many measles cases in 2026 as 2025?
65%
Manifold
65%
otherManifold23 traders
W
Will Iran cease to exist in 2026?
4%
Manifold
4%
otherManifold14 traders
←56789→
Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

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