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OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus.

Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,934
Markets
Data refreshed 3 hr ago
2,582 questions
Consensus 2+
W
Will more than 1000 deaths be caused by misaligned AI before 2028?
14%
Manifold
14%
otherManifold23 traders
W
Was Epstein a Russian asset?
15%
Manifold
15%
otherManifold23 traders
W
Will X (Twitter) be banned in Australia in 2026?
7%
Manifold
7%
otherManifold23 traders
1
10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]
47%
Manifold
47%
otherManifold23 traders
B
By 2026, will crude steel production outside China be at least 8% higher than in 2024?
50%
Manifold
50%
otherManifold15 traders
I
If elected, will Zohran Mamdani maintain a net positive approval rating by August 2028?
50%
Manifold
50%
otherManifold12 traders
W
Will Elon go into rehab? — Before January 2027
6%
Manifold
6%
otherManifold23 traders
I
Is herpes a causative factor in dementia?
76%
Manifold
76%
otherManifold13 traders
W
Will I get into Clark Scholars?
19%
Manifold
19%
otherManifold16 traders
T
Total cases of measles reported in US during 2026 — x ≥ 3500
74%
Manifold
74%
otherManifold48 traders
D
Does rapamyacin significantly increase the lifespan of dogs?
70%
Manifold
70%
otherManifold13 traders
W
Will North Korea attack South Korea's outlying islands, causing fatalities, before 2030?
23%
Manifold
23%
otherManifold16 traders
W
Will the European Union become a country by 2100?
11%
Manifold
11%
otherManifold25 traders
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Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

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