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OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus.

Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,266
Markets
Data refreshed 3 hr ago
1,179 questions
Consensus 2+
W
Will Trump be impeached before Jan 20th 2029
66%
Manifold
66%
politicsManifold16 traders
F
Free & Fair Presidential Election in Venezuela by EOY 2026?
20%
Manifold
20%
politicsManifold16 traders
W
Will Trump die of cancer?
11%
Manifold
11%
politicsManifold21 traders
T
Tangible evidence of senior Trump officials trading on insider tariff info before 2030?
72%
Manifold
72%
politicsManifold20 traders
W
Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24 months of his inauguration?
23%
Manifold
23%
politicsManifold17 traders
W
Will the Supreme Court weaken Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act in Louisiana v. Callais?
71%
Manifold
71%
politicsManifold21 traders
W
Will a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?
38%
Manifold
38%
politicsManifold21 traders
W
Will President Trump be declared incapacitated under the 25th Amendment Section 4 during the 2025-2029 term?
10%
Manifold
10%
politicsManifold77 traders
W
Will Joe Biden (born 20 November 1942) outlive Vladimir Putin (born 7 October 1952)?
20%
Manifold
20%
politicsManifold148 traders
W
Will Trump take credit for reversing TikTok ban?
88%
Manifold
88%
politicsManifold16 traders
W
Will AOC run for senate in 2028?
52%
Manifold
52%
politicsManifold16 traders
W
Will Trump give himself the Medal of Honor while in office?
12%
Manifold
12%
politicsManifold21 traders
W
Will Trump be regarded as a fascist by most mainstream scholars in 2050?
60%
Manifold
60%
politicsManifold21 traders
W
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act by April 30, 2026?
10%
Manifold
10%
politicsManifold21 traders
S
Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election?
48%
Manifold
48%
politicsManifold21 traders
W
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2026?
86%
Manifold
86%
politicsManifold19 traders
W
Will one of the Trump Tower buildings in the United States be renamed before 2030?
52%
Manifold
52%
politicsManifold19 traders
W
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentinian presidential election?
67%
Manifold
67%
politicsManifold20 traders
W
Will pro-independence parties win a majority of seats at the 2026 Welsh election?
77%
Manifold
77%
politicsManifold13 traders
M
Marc Andreessen publicly breaks with Trump by mid 2026
6%
Manifold
6%
politicsManifold20 traders
←23456→
Odds Raven

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