W
Will the next president be a republican?
40%
Manifold
40%
politicsManifold21 traders
W
Will Trump visit Venezuela in 2026?
17%
Manifold
17%
politicsManifold49 traders
W
Will Donald Trump die while in Secret Service custody?
9%
Manifold
9%
politicsManifold23 traders
How many seats will the UK Labour Party win at the next general election? — >=300
34%
Manifold
34%
politicsManifold18 traders
How many seats will the UK Labour Party win at the next general election? — >=350
18%
Manifold
18%
politicsManifold18 traders
How many seats will the UK Labour Party win at the next general election? — >=400
6%
Manifold
6%
politicsManifold18 traders
W
Will Hasan Piker Interview Gavin Newsom in 2026?
73%
Manifold
73%
politicsManifold22 traders
W
Will RFK be a Czar in the next administration?
2%
Manifold
2%
politicsManifold23 traders
W
Will Kamala Harris be elected President in 2028?
3%
Manifold
3%
politicsManifold18 traders
W
Will Joe Biden live to see the end of the US-Iran war?
85%
Manifold
85%
politicsManifold23 traders
W
Will two Republicans win in California's June 2026 gubernatorial primary?
8%
Manifold
8%
politicsManifold14 traders
W
Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
39%
Manifold
39%
politicsManifold17 traders
W
Will Tony Evers run for re-election as Governor of Wisconsin in 2026?
2%
Manifold
2%
politicsManifold14 traders
W
Will Trump try to have his face engraved on Mt Rushmore during his second term?
15%
Manifold
15%
politicsManifold17 traders
W
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. Presidency before 2033?
23%
Manifold
23%
politicsManifold17 traders
W
Will there be a significant advancement in frontier AI model architecture by end of year 2026?
25%
Manifold
25%
politicsManifold17 traders
W
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate race in North Carolina?
81%
Manifold
81%
politicsManifold23 traders
W
Will Donald Trump deport, imprison, denaturalize, or attack Jack Smith using the powers of the US government?
21%
Manifold
21%
politicsManifold16 traders
W
Will Trump win Nobel Piss Prize 2026? [Read description]
84%
Manifold
84%
politicsManifold23 traders
I
If Donald Trump is impeached again in his second term, will it stick?
15%
Manifold
15%
politicsManifold23 traders