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OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus.

Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
69,535
Markets
Data refreshed 43 min ago
1,111 questions
Consensus 2+
I
If Trump is elected, will there be "no tax on tips" by 2028?
87%
Manifold
87%
politicsManifold20 traders
I
If Trump becomes president will his administration regulate or ban AR-15 style rifles?
6%
Manifold
6%
politicsManifold20 traders
W
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) be the Democratic nominee for President OR Vice President before the end of 2032?
40%
Manifold
40%
politicsManifold20 traders
W
Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2027?
54%
Manifold
54%
politicsManifold18 traders
8
8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]
63%
Manifold
63%
politicsManifold20 traders
H
How Low Will Donald Trumps Approval get in 2026? — 38.0% or below?
67%
Manifold
67%
politicsManifold19 traders
H
How Low Will Donald Trumps Approval get in 2026? — 33.0% or below?
24%
Manifold
24%
politicsManifold19 traders
H
How Low Will Donald Trumps Approval get in 2026? — 32.0% or below?
22%
Manifold
22%
politicsManifold19 traders
H
How Low Will Donald Trumps Approval get in 2026? — 31.0% or below?
16%
Manifold
16%
politicsManifold19 traders
H
How Low Will Donald Trumps Approval get in 2026? — 25.0% or below?
7%
Manifold
7%
politicsManifold19 traders
W
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2026?
86%
Manifold
86%
politicsManifold19 traders
W
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentinian presidential election?
67%
Manifold
67%
politicsManifold20 traders
U
UK has new prime minister in 2026?
52%
Manifold
52%
politicsManifold19 traders
K
Kristi Noem was fired Mar 5. Pam Bondi was fired April 2. Will Trump fire another Cabinet member before May 4,11:59pm?
69%
Manifold
69%
politicsManifold14 traders
M
Marc Andreessen publicly breaks with Trump by mid 2026
6%
Manifold
6%
politicsManifold20 traders
W
Will Donald Trump ever see the inside of a *JAIL* Cell? (Not a *prison* cell)
12%
Manifold
12%
politicsManifold31 traders
W
Will JD Vance be the 48th (next) President?
33%
Manifold
33%
politicsManifold12 traders
W
Will the U.S. Senate pass the recently proposed legislation to curb prediction markets before June 1, 2026?
12%
Manifold
12%
politicsManifold19 traders
M
MARCO RUBIO WILL WIN 2028 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY?
25%
Manifold
25%
politicsManifold19 traders
[
[SCOTUS] Obergefell v. Hodges overturned by EOY 2026
3%
Manifold
3%
politicsManifold19 traders
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Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

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