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OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus.

Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,934
Markets
Data refreshed 5 hr ago
1,170 questions
Consensus 2+
W
Will chuck Schumer lead the senate democrats after 2026 elections?
53%
Manifold
53%
politicsManifold12 traders
H
How Low Will Donald Trumps Approval get in 2026? — 40.0% or below?
96%
Manifold
96%
politicsManifold19 traders
H
How Low Will Donald Trumps Approval get in 2026? — 39.0% or below?
83%
Manifold
83%
politicsManifold19 traders
H
How Low Will Donald Trumps Approval get in 2026? — 38.0% or below?
65%
Manifold
65%
politicsManifold19 traders
H
How Low Will Donald Trumps Approval get in 2026? — 33.0% or below?
25%
Manifold
25%
politicsManifold19 traders
H
How Low Will Donald Trumps Approval get in 2026? — 32.0% or below?
22%
Manifold
22%
politicsManifold19 traders
H
How Low Will Donald Trumps Approval get in 2026? — 31.0% or below?
16%
Manifold
16%
politicsManifold19 traders
H
How Low Will Donald Trumps Approval get in 2026? — 25.0% or below?
7%
Manifold
7%
politicsManifold19 traders
C
Cori Bush wins 2026 MO-01 Democratic Primary?
34%
Manifold
34%
politicsManifold12 traders
W
Will Elizabeth Warren ever be elected President?
2%
Manifold
2%
politicsManifold19 traders
D
Democrats win 2028 election?
59%
Manifold
59%
politicsManifold33 traders
C
Credible evidence Donald Trump has dementia emerges by 2030
75%
Manifold
75%
politicsManifold11 traders
W
Will Trump be impeached by the House again in his 2nd term?
70%
Manifold
70%
politicsManifold43 traders
W
Will Trump attempt to fire Jerome Powell before May 2026?
8%
Manifold
8%
politicsManifold91 traders
W
Will Donald Trump keep the position of the President of the USA for all of 2026?
87%
Manifold
87%
politicsManifold11 traders
W
Will one of the Trump Tower buildings in the United States be renamed before 2030?
52%
Manifold
52%
politicsManifold19 traders
O
On what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? — 2026-12-31 / 31st December 2026
47%
Manifold
47%
politicsManifold107 traders
O
On what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? — 2027-12-31 / 31st December 2027
29%
Manifold
29%
politicsManifold107 traders
W
Will Elon Musk be assassinated before the end of Trumps presidency?
5%
Manifold
5%
politicsManifold97 traders
W
Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?
75%
Manifold
75%
politicsManifold22 traders
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Odds Raven

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