W
Will Gavin Newsom run for President in 2028?
93%
Manifold
93%
politicsManifold19 traders
W
Will the first woman president of the United States be a Republican?
40%
Manifold
40%
politicsManifold19 traders
W
Will Trump pardon Maduro?
17%
Manifold
17%
politicsManifold18 traders
W
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be elected U.S. president in 2028?
6%
Manifold
6%
politicsManifold20 traders
W
Will Tucker Carlson run for President between now and the 2036 election (inclusive)?
36%
Manifold
36%
politicsManifold28 traders
W
Will there be a significant polling error at the 2026 US midterm elections?
57%
Manifold
57%
politicsManifold15 traders
W
Will Trump Trumpet?
13%
Manifold
13%
politicsManifold16 traders
How many seats will the UK Labour Party win at the next general election? — >=100
88%
Manifold
88%
politicsManifold18 traders
How many seats will the UK Labour Party win at the next general election? — >=150
78%
Manifold
78%
politicsManifold18 traders
How many seats will the UK Labour Party win at the next general election? — >=200
64%
Manifold
64%
politicsManifold18 traders
How many seats will the UK Labour Party win at the next general election? — >=325
21%
Manifold
21%
politicsManifold18 traders
W
White House ballroom completed before the end of Trump's second term?
33%
Manifold
33%
politicsManifold17 traders
W
Will a Republican be elected president in 2028?
41%
Manifold
41%
politicsManifold20 traders
W
Will the Supreme Court deem unconstitutional the Montana statewide ban on TikTok by 2026 year end?
8%
Manifold
8%
politicsManifold18 traders
I
If Trump is imprisoned before 2030, will he serve house arrest but NOT prison time?
72%
Manifold
72%
politicsManifold20 traders
W
Will any current National Park lose its National Park designation during the current presidential administration?
15%
Manifold
15%
politicsManifold18 traders
I
In one year from now, will Manifold think Trump's March-April tariff shenanigans were good for America/Americans?
4%
Manifold
4%
politicsManifold15 traders
W
Will the winner of the 2024 US election remain president until 2029?
85%
Manifold
85%
politicsManifold17 traders
W
Will @realDonaldTrump go to Manifest this year?
89%
Manifold
89%
politicsManifold20 traders
I
If Trump wins, will the US homicide rate decrease?
61%
Manifold
61%
politicsManifold24 traders