W
Will at least one Starship leave Earth heading for Mars in the 2026 launch window?
2%
Manifold
2%
scienceManifold62 traders
W
Will AI surpass humans in conducting scientific research by 2030?
31%
Manifold
31%
scienceManifold32 traders
W
Will NASA assign asteroid YR4 an impact probability of ≥4.0% before June 2029?
2%
Manifold
2%
scienceManifold51 traders
W
Will a human walk on Mars before 2035?
16%
Manifold
16%
scienceManifold39 traders
W
Will Artemis 3 be a crewed moon landing?
1%
Manifold
1%
scienceManifold13 traders
W
Will humans land on mars by 2028?
1%
Manifold
1%
scienceManifold37 traders
I
Is Rosie the dog's AI-designed mRNA cancer vaccine legitimate?
66%
Manifold
66%
scienceManifold170 traders
M
Manned mission to a near earth asteroid before landing on the Moon?
5%
Manifold
5%
scienceManifold34 traders
S
Starlink (SpaceX) has operational internet satellites in Moon orbit by 2035
63%
Manifold
63%
scienceManifold13 traders
W
will 2026 bring a offical breakthrough in the Kurt Cobain death investigation?
12%
Manifold
12%
scienceManifold12 traders
W
Will SpaceX's HLS uncrewed demo launch before 2027?
4%
Manifold
4%
scienceManifold12 traders
When will SpaceX land on the moon? — Before 2027
1%
Manifold
1%
scienceManifold33 traders
When will SpaceX land on the moon? — 2028
22%
Manifold
22%
scienceManifold33 traders
W
Will global carbon dioxide levels decrease in any year before 2030
6%
Manifold
6%
scienceManifold12 traders
W
Will China successfully complete a Mars Sample Return mission before the USA and Europe do?
56%
Manifold
56%
scienceManifold12 traders
W
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against any type of herpes simplex infection before 2028?
25%
Manifold
25%
scienceManifold12 traders
W
Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 800 times?
97%
Manifold
97%
scienceManifold12 traders
W
Will any company or space agency other than SpaceX successfully use reusable rocket launch system by 2027?
98%
Manifold
98%
scienceManifold12 traders
W
Will SpaceX reach a valuation of $5 Trillion by 2030?
40%
Manifold
40%
scienceManifold11 traders
W
Will SpaceX combine with Tesla in 2026?
21%
Manifold
21%
scienceManifold11 traders