OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus.

Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,934
Markets
Data refreshed 2 hr ago
505 questions
Consensus 2+
W
Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?
7%
Manifold
7%
sportsManifold19 traders
W
Will there be an MLB no-hitter before July 1, 2026?
53%
Manifold
53%
sportsManifold11 traders
W
Will Kylian Mbappe break the UEFA Champions League Single Season Goal Record in 2025/26, held by Cristiano Ronaldo?
38%
Manifold
38%
sportsManifold18 traders
W
Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% before it reaches 0%?
77%
Manifold
77%
sportsManifold54 traders
W
Will Cristiano Ronaldo or Leo Messi play at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
93%
Manifold
93%
sportsManifold82 traders
W
Will Russia participate in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers?
3%
Manifold
3%
sportsManifold16 traders
W
Will Musk disable the "About this Account" feature on X since revelations that top MAGA influencers are foreign actors
9%
Manifold
9%
sportsManifold14 traders
W
Will the Israeli Hamas conflict be described as a genocide in 10 years(2034)
59%
Manifold
59%
sportsManifold81 traders
M
Manchester United makes Premier League top 4 in 2026?
85%
Manifold
85%
sportsManifold57 traders
W
Will a South American country be the next world cup champion in 2026?
20%
Manifold
20%
sportsManifold16 traders
W
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028?
12%
Manifold
12%
sportsManifold17 traders
H
How many F1 races will be rescheduled, moved, or cancelled this season? — 1
1%
Manifold
1%
sportsManifold49 traders
H
How many F1 races will be rescheduled, moved, or cancelled this season? — 3-4
35%
Manifold
35%
sportsManifold49 traders
H
How many F1 races will be rescheduled, moved, or cancelled this season? — 9+
4%
Manifold
4%
sportsManifold49 traders
W
Will the current Israel-Hamas conflict last ten years, as some senior Israeli officials warned during Biden's trip?
13%
Manifold
13%
sportsManifold21 traders
W
Will Iran officially withdraw from the 2026 FIFA World Cup before August 1, 2026?
56%
Manifold
56%
sportsManifold16 traders
W
Will the White House host a UFC event by the end of 2026?
81%
Manifold
81%
sportsManifold16 traders
P
Premier League 2025/26 - Will Manchester United end with a positive GD?
96%
Manifold
96%
sportsManifold18 traders
W
Will Barcelona win La Liga 2025–26?
93%
Manifold
93%
sportsManifold24 traders
W
Will any U.S. ally boycott the 2026 FIFA World Cup in the U.S.?
15%
Manifold
15%
sportsManifold21 traders
34567
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