W
Will Claude become a Pokèmon Master by the end of 2026?
95%
Manifold
95%
aiManifold20 traders
W
Will GPT-4.5 score at least 100 in an IQ test?
69%
Manifold
69%
aiManifold20 traders
W
Will DeepSeek be banned in US before 2027?
18%
Manifold
18%
aiManifold17 traders
W
Will Extropic AI build thermodynamic computing hardware that runs an AI model faster/cheaper than GPU by 2030?
33%
Manifold
33%
aiManifold20 traders
W
Will Gemini be more popular than Chatgpt at the end of 2026?
23%
Manifold
23%
aiManifold20 traders
G
GPT 5.5 (OpenAI) release date — Before May 2026
72%
Manifold
72%
aiManifold49 traders
V4 (DeepSeek) release date — Before May 2026
78%
Manifold
78%
aiManifold98 traders
W
Will a Chinese AI model rank in the top 10 on the LMArena Text leaderboard on August 1?
71%
Manifold
71%
aiManifold15 traders
Will any emoji be printed on a Magic: the Gathering card by... — End of 2025
1%
Manifold
1%
aiManifold19 traders
Will any emoji be printed on a Magic: the Gathering card by... — End of 2026
3%
Manifold
3%
aiManifold19 traders
Will any emoji be printed on a Magic: the Gathering card by... — End of 2027
10%
Manifold
10%
aiManifold19 traders
Will any emoji be printed on a Magic: the Gathering card by... — End of 2028
21%
Manifold
21%
aiManifold19 traders
G
GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date — Before August 2027
87%
Manifold
87%
aiManifold119 traders
G
GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date — Before September 2027
88%
Manifold
88%
aiManifold119 traders
W
Will Amazon divest from Anthropic in 2026?
7%
Manifold
7%
aiManifold25 traders
Will any emoji be printed on a Magic: the Gathering card by... — End of 2029
22%
Manifold
22%
aiManifold19 traders
Will any emoji be printed on a Magic: the Gathering card by... — End of 2030
41%
Manifold
41%
aiManifold19 traders
W
Will Avraham Eisenberg be freed from incarceration before the development of AGI?
90%
Manifold
90%
aiManifold19 traders
W
Will GPT-6 be considered to be AGI?
8%
Manifold
8%
aiManifold24 traders
W
When will OpenAI's first consumer hardware device be released? (Jony Ive Sam Altman IO) 🤖📱👀 — Before December 31st 2025
1%
Manifold
1%
aiManifold19 traders