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Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,266
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 1 hr ago
99 questions
ShowAllSingle MarketsMulti-OutcomeConsensus 2+
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PlatformAll PlatformsGeminiManifold MarketsPolymarketPredictIt
B
Bitcoin $64K in April?
34%
Manifold
34%
cryptoManifold20 traders
A
At the end of Juneteenth 2026 (June 19) will Manifold have sold enough Mana in the last 30 days to buy one bitcoin?
5%
Manifold
5%
cryptoManifold14 traders
W
Will Binance be the largest crypto exchange market at the end of 2026?
29%
Manifold
29%
cryptoManifold12 traders
I
If bitcoin reaches $130k USD will it reach $150k within 72 hours?
5%
Manifold
5%
cryptoManifold13 traders
B
BTC hits $10k before SPY reaches $700?
4%
Manifold
4%
cryptoManifold12 traders
W
Will Bitcoin go below $30,000 before reaching a new all time high?
26%
Manifold
26%
cryptoManifold12 traders
W
Will the four year bitcoin cycle continue?
60%
Manifold
60%
cryptoManifold12 traders
W
Will Bitcoin be higher than $88,888 at the end of 2026?
39%
Manifold
39%
cryptoManifold17 traders
W
Will Sam Bankman-Fried launch a new crypto exchange within a year of getting out of prison?
11%
Manifold
11%
cryptoManifold12 traders
W
Will bitcoin achieve a new ath in 2026
17%
Manifold
17%
cryptoManifold11 traders
D
Did DOGE cause a data breach during 2025?
10%
Manifold
10%
cryptoManifold125 traders
W
Will Bitcoin exceed $100,000 before December 31, 2026?
37%
Manifold
37%
cryptoManifold18 traders
W
Will Revolut launch a US Dollar stablecoin in 2026? [Ṁ10k liquidity]
48%
Manifold
48%
cryptoManifold25 traders
B
Bitcoin $170K by mid 2026?
1%
Manifold
1%
cryptoManifold25 traders
W
Will the AI-generated Bitcoin song "Chain of Infinite" by Lunr Reverb go viral and reach 1,000,000 streams before 2027?
11%
Manifold
11%
cryptoManifold28 traders
W
Will Bitcoin close above $80,000 on April 30, 2026?
15%
Manifold
15%
cryptoManifold11 traders
W
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 before January 1, 2027?
3%
Manifold
3%
cryptoManifold19 traders
I
If bitcoin reaches $150k USD will it reach $160k within two weeks?
21%
Manifold
21%
cryptoManifold25 traders
W
Will >10 EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become a billionaire (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, *including* crypto or inheritance?
84%
Manifold
84%
cryptoManifold22 traders
W
Will Bitcoin hit $100.000 again before July 1, 2026?
15%
Manifold
15%
cryptoManifold20 traders
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