OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
67,809
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 1 hr ago
24 questions
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
31%
↑ 3pp
Polymarket
38%
Manifold
26%
crypto2 sources$1.2M12pp gap
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
17%
Polymarket
10%
Manifold
28%
crypto2 sources$788K19pp gap
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
20%
Polymarket
12%
Manifold
30%
crypto2 sources$682K18pp gap
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?
1%
— 0pp
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
2%
crypto2 sources$485K1pp gap
W
When Will Bitcoin cross $100,000 again? — Before July 31 11.59pm 2026 est
20%
Manifold
20%
cryptoManifold13 traders
W
When Will Bitcoin cross $100,000 again? — Before December 31 11.59pm 2027 est
56%
Manifold
56%
cryptoManifold13 traders
W
Will Bitcoin be $100k or higher on the day GTA6 releases?
25%
Manifold
25%
cryptoManifold13 traders
W
When Will Bitcoin cross $100,000 again? — Before May 31 11.59pm est 2026
8%
Manifold
8%
cryptoManifold13 traders
B
Bitcoin $64K in April?
35%
Manifold
35%
cryptoManifold20 traders
W
Will Bitcoin close above $80,000 on April 30, 2026?
15%
Manifold
15%
cryptoManifold11 traders
W
Will >10 EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become a billionaire (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, *including* crypto or inheritance?
84%
Manifold
84%
cryptoManifold22 traders
B
Bitcoin below $48K in 2026?
41%
Manifold
41%
cryptoManifold17 traders
W
Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?
26%
Manifold
26%
cryptoManifold14 traders
S
SPX > BTC by 2030?
11%
Manifold
11%
cryptoManifold11 traders
W
Will an EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become a billionaire (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, by means other than crypto or inheritance?
90%
Manifold
90%
cryptoManifold47 traders
W
Will Polymarket launch a stablecoin before 2027?
93%
Manifold
93%
cryptoManifold26 traders
B
Bitcoin $58K in April?
9%
Manifold
9%
cryptoManifold14 traders
B
Bitcoin Prev-Close below $65,000 on April 25, 2026?
16%
Manifold
16%
cryptoManifold11 traders
B
Bitcoin $78K in April?
32%
Manifold
32%
cryptoManifold12 traders
W
Will Bitcoin hit $60k(Yes) or $80k(No) first?
43%
Manifold
43%
cryptoManifold14 traders
12
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