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OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus.

Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
72,186
Markets
Data refreshed 2 hr ago
77 questions
Consensus 2+
W
Will Polymarket launch a stablecoin before 2027?
93%
Manifold
93%
cryptoManifold26 traders
W
Will Satoshi Nakamoto spend any bitcoin before 2035?
32%
Manifold
32%
cryptoManifold21 traders
W
Will Bitcoin ever go below $50,000 again?
83%
Manifold
83%
cryptoManifold26 traders
A
At the end of Juneteenth 2026 (June 19) will Manifold have sold enough Mana in the last 30 days to buy one bitcoin?
5%
Manifold
5%
cryptoManifold14 traders
I
If bitcoin reaches $150k USD will it reach $160k within two weeks?
21%
Manifold
21%
cryptoManifold25 traders
B
Bitcoin below $60K in 2026?
68%
Manifold
68%
cryptoManifold130 traders
B
Bitcoin $130K in 2026?
15%
Manifold
15%
cryptoManifold34 traders
B
Bitcoin below $55K in 2026?
57%
Manifold
57%
cryptoManifold108 traders
W
Will USDT (tether) fail by 2030
15%
Manifold
15%
cryptoManifold42 traders
W
Will >10 EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become a billionaire (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, *including* crypto or inheritance?
84%
Manifold
84%
cryptoManifold22 traders
W
Will btc drop to 10K by July?
2%
Manifold
2%
cryptoManifold20 traders
W
Will Manifold do a crypto airdrop before Jan 1st, 2028?
33%
Manifold
33%
cryptoManifold20 traders
W
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 before January 1, 2027?
3%
Manifold
3%
cryptoManifold19 traders
B
Bitcoin $150K in 2026?
8%
Manifold
8%
cryptoManifold36 traders
W
Will Ethereum reach $1,000 before it reaches $10,000?
37%
Manifold
37%
cryptoManifold22 traders
W
Will Binance be the largest crypto exchange market at the end of 2026?
29%
Manifold
29%
cryptoManifold12 traders
I
If Bitcoin reaches $120k before the end of 2025, will it reach $120k again in 2026?
21%
Manifold
21%
cryptoManifold17 traders
"
"The Verge": Fully SNARKed Ethereum by 2027-02-06?
39%
Manifold
39%
cryptoManifold16 traders
W
Will Bitcoin fall below $10k for 1 hour before 2040?
10%
Manifold
10%
cryptoManifold33 traders
W
Will I ever make a real world purchase with a crypto currency?
55%
Manifold
55%
cryptoManifold14 traders
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Odds Raven

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