Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
0%
Manifold
1%
economics2 sources$25.0M0pp gap
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
economics2 sources$15.6M0pp gap
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
economics2 sources$15.5M0pp gap
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
98%
— 0ppPolymarket
98%
Manifold
97%
economics2 sources$15.1M0pp gap
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
34%
↑ 7ppPolymarket
42%
Manifold
27%
economics2 sources$3.0M15pp gap
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
15%
↓ 3ppPolymarket
8%
Manifold
26%
economics2 sources$894K17pp gap
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?
1%
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
4%
economics2 sources$143K4pp gap
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?
92%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
94%
Manifold
89%
economics2 sources$93K6pp gap
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?
6%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
5%
Manifold
7%
economics2 sources$83K1pp gap