Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
0%
Manifold
1%
economics2 sources$24.9M0pp gap
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
economics2 sources$15.4M0pp gap
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
economics2 sources$15.3M0pp gap
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
98%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
98%
Manifold
97%
economics2 sources$14.9M0pp gap
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
32%
↑ 3ppPolymarket
39%
Manifold
26%
economics2 sources$3.0M12pp gap
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
16%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
9%
Manifold
26%
economics2 sources$892K17pp gap
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?
1%
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
4%
economics2 sources$143K4pp gap
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?
92%
— 0ppPolymarket
95%
Manifold
89%
economics2 sources$90K6pp gap
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?
6%
— 0ppPolymarket
5%
Manifold
7%
economics2 sources$83K2pp gap