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Cross-platform prediction market consensus.

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980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,266
Markets
Data refreshed 3 hr ago
24 questions
Consensus 2+
FED Decision In April
Fed maintains rate
99%
there
98%
Cut 25bps
4%
economics4 candidates +1 more$70.4M+$7.3M/24h
How Many FED Rate Cuts In 2026
no Fed rate cuts happen in 2
39%
1 Fed rate cut happen in 202
24%
2 Fed rate cuts happen in 20
22%
economics13 candidates +10 more$17.8M+$380K/24h
FED Decision In June
there
88%
Fed decrease interest rates
8%
Fed increase interest rates
2%
economics5 candidates +2 more$6.6M+$219K/24h
FED Decision In July
there
80%
Fed decrease interest rates
14%
Fed decrease interest rates
2%
economics5 candidates +2 more$3.4M+$44K/24h
What Will FED Rate Hit Before 2027
Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25
70%
Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0%
32%
Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5%
16%
economics17 candidates +14 more$1.3M+$3K/24h
FED Decisions Mar Jun
Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the
84%
Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the n
13%
Fed decide differently in th
3%
economics5 candidates +2 more$786K+$805/24h
Bank Of Japan Decision In April
Bank of Japan increases inte
62%
No change in Bank of Japan’s
34%
Bank of Japan increases inte
1%
economics4 candidates +1 more$484K+$50K/24h
FED Decisions Jan Apr
Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the
98%
Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the n
1%
Fed decide differently in th
0%
economics3 candidates $436K+$21K/24h
Bank Of England Decision In April
No change in Bank of England
95%
Bank of England increases in
5%
Bank of England decreases in
0%
economics3 candidates $316K+$5K/24h
China GDP Growth In Q1 2026
China GDP growth in Q1 2026
46%
economics7 candidates +6 more$273K+$15K/24h
Ecb Interest Rates April 2026
ECB announce no change at th
89%
ECB announce an increase at
11%
economics2 candidates $236K+$7K/24h
Major Rate Cut Chances Under Each FED Chair
Kevin Warsh
75%
Rick Rieder
7%
something else than the list
3%
economics9 candidates +6 more$108K+$33/24h
Bank Of Mexico Decision In May
Bank of Mexico announce no c
80%
Bank of Mexico announce a de
18%
Bank of Mexico announce an i
1%
economics3 candidates $35K+$706/24h
What Will Powell Say During April Press Conference
Powell say "Good Afternoon"
98%
Powell say "Inflation" 40+ t
82%
Powell say "AI" or "Artifici
74%
economics4 candidates +1 more$26K+$5K/24h
Bank Of Japan Decision In June
No change in Bank of Japan’s
58%
Bank of Japan decreases inte
3%
economics2 candidates $25K+$407/24h
UK GDP Growth In Q1 2026
UK GDP growth in Q1 2026
32%
economics4 candidates +3 more$19K+$8/24h
How Many Dissent At The Next FED Meeting
one person dissent the April
59%
no one dissent the April Fed
7%
four or more people dissent
2%
economics3 candidates $19K+$3K/24h
Brazil GDP Growth In Q1 2026
Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth
17%
economics2 candidates +1 more$15K+$3/24h
Bank Of Israel Decision In May
Bank of Israel make no chang
86%
Bank of Israel decrease the
12%
Bank of Israel increase the
4%
economics3 candidates $13K+$389/24h
Will The 30 Year Mortgage Rate Hit In 2026
U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mort
74%
U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mort
44%
economics2 candidates $13K
12
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