Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
1%
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
2%
entertainment2 sources$1.3M1pp gap
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
11%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
12%
Gemini
15%
Manifold
8%
entertainment3 sources$1.2M7pp gap
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
6%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
Manifold
12%
entertainment2 sources$1.2M10pp gap
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
2%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
Manifold
2%
entertainment2 sources$1.2M1pp gap
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?
2%
— 0ppPolymarket
2%
Manifold
2%
entertainment2 sources$1.0M0pp gap
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
49%
↑ 5ppPolymarket
68%
Manifold
31%
ai2 sources$620K37pp gap
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainment2 sources$594K0pp gap