OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus.

Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,934
Markets
Data refreshed 50 min ago
48 questions
Consensus 2+
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?
0%
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
0%
entertainment2 sources$1.3M0pp gap
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
1%
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
1%
entertainment2 sources$1.3M1pp gap
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
11%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
11%
Gemini
15%
Manifold
8%
entertainment3 sources$1.2M7pp gap
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
3%
— 0pp
Polymarket
3%
Manifold
3%
entertainment2 sources$1.2M0pp gap
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
3%
— 0pp
Polymarket
3%
Manifold
3%
entertainment2 sources$1.2M1pp gap
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?
1%
— 0pp
Polymarket
2%
Manifold
1%
entertainment2 sources$1.0M1pp gap
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
49%
↑ 5pp
Polymarket
68%
Manifold
31%
ai2 sources$620K37pp gap
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1%
— 0pp
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainment2 sources$594K0pp gap
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
38%
↑ 3pp
Polymarket
38%
entertainmentPolymarket$222K
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
9%
↓ 3pp
Polymarket
9%
entertainmentPolymarket$53K
Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?
12%
Polymarket
12%
entertainmentPolymarket$46K
Secret Lives of Mormon Wives Season 5 cancelled by April 15?
1%
Polymarket
1%
entertainmentPolymarket$41K
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
8%
— 0pp
Polymarket
8%
entertainmentPolymarket$34K
Will Justin Bieber play "What Do You Mean?" first at Coachella?
24%
↑ 4pp
Polymarket
24%
entertainmentPolymarket$17K
Will North West release an album by December 31?
75%
↑ 4pp
Polymarket
75%
entertainmentPolymarket$14K
Will Olivia Rodrigo release a new original album by August 31?
98%
— 0pp
Polymarket
98%
entertainmentPolymarket$13K
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
14%
Polymarket
14%
entertainmentPolymarket$10K
Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
79%
↑ 28pp
Polymarket
79%
entertainmentPolymarket$9K
Will "Dandelion" - Ella Langley debut week album sales be at least 140k?
66%
↑ 14pp
Polymarket
66%
entertainmentPolymarket$6K
Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by June 30?
68%
↑ 9pp
Polymarket
68%
entertainmentPolymarket$3K
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