Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?
0%
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
0%
entertainment2 sources$1.3M0pp gap
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
1%
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
1%
entertainment2 sources$1.2M1pp gap
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
Manifold
2%
entertainment2 sources$1.2M1pp gap
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
Manifold
3%
entertainment2 sources$1.2M0pp gap
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
11%
— 0ppPolymarket
10%
Gemini
15%
Manifold
8%
entertainment3 sources$1.2M7pp gap
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?
2%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
3%
entertainment2 sources$996K2pp gap
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
49%
↑ 5ppPolymarket
68%
Manifold
31%
ai2 sources$620K37pp gap
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainment2 sources$592K0pp gap
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
35%
↑ 4ppPolymarket
35%
entertainmentPolymarket$220K
W
Will Disney+ officially confirm the Tinker Bell live-action series is in production by June 30, 2026?
52%
Context
52%
entertainmentContext$53K
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
11%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
11%
entertainmentPolymarket$51K
W
Will King Tuff's album 'MOO' be released on March 27, 2026?
17%
Context
17%
entertainmentContext$50K
Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?
12%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
12%
entertainmentPolymarket$46K
Secret Lives of Mormon Wives Season 5 cancelled by April 15?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
entertainmentPolymarket$38K
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
8%
Polymarket
8%
entertainmentPolymarket$34K
Will Justin Bieber play "What Do You Mean?" first at Coachella?
20%
Polymarket
20%
entertainmentPolymarket$17K
Will North West release an album by December 31?
72%
↓ 4ppPolymarket
72%
entertainmentPolymarket$14K
Will Olivia Rodrigo release a new original album by August 31?
98%
Polymarket
98%
entertainmentPolymarket$13K
W
Will Frank Ocean officially release a new single?
79%
Context
79%
entertainmentContext$11K
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
14%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
14%
entertainmentPolymarket$10K