B
By 2030, will at least one song in the Billboard Hot 100 have been primarily AI-generated?
87%
Manifold
87%
entertainmentManifold54 traders
W
Will Netflix remain the most popular video streaming platform at the end of 2026?
88%
Manifold
88%
entertainmentManifold12 traders
I
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
28%
Manifold
28%
entertainmentManifold4373 traders
W
Will an AI-generated song reach #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?
13%
Manifold
13%
entertainmentManifold35 traders
W
Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2026?
39%
Manifold
39%
entertainmentManifold53 traders
W
Will GTA 6 win GOTY (Game Awards)?
51%
Manifold
51%
entertainmentManifold19 traders
When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users? — 2029
49%
Manifold
49%
entertainmentManifold37 traders
When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users? — 2030
51%
Manifold
51%
entertainmentManifold37 traders
G
GTA VI released by May 31, 2026?
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
O
One Piece ends before GTA 6 releases?
4%
Manifold
4%
entertainmentManifold14 traders
G
GTA 6 released before P. Diddy leaves prison?
81%
Manifold
81%
entertainmentManifold18 traders
W
Will GTA 6 cost 79$ or more on launch?
86%
Manifold
86%
entertainmentManifold38 traders
When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users? — 2026
21%
Manifold
21%
entertainmentManifold37 traders
When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users? — 2028
41%
Manifold
41%
entertainmentManifold37 traders
I
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?
66%
Manifold
66%
entertainmentManifold347 traders
W
Will an adult movie be made in space and released by mid 2034?
40%
Manifold
40%
entertainmentManifold48 traders
B
By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?
32%
Manifold
32%
entertainmentManifold128 traders
W
Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?
52%
Manifold
52%
entertainmentManifold94 traders
W
Will a video game be played in the Olympics as an official event by the end of 2050?
75%
Manifold
75%
entertainmentManifold36 traders
G
GTA VI released on May 26, 2026?
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainmentManifold34 traders