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Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
66,938
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 31 min ago
7 questions
ShowAllSingle MarketsMulti-OutcomeConsensus 2+
SortTrendingMost SourcesBiggest GapHighest ProbNewest
PlatformAll PlatformsGeminiManifold MarketsPolymarketPredictIt
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
40%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
40%
Gemini
42%
Manifold
36%
entertainment3 sources$2.3M6pp gap
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
12%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
10%
Gemini
15%
Manifold
11%
entertainment3 sources$1.7M5pp gap
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
9%
— 0pp
Polymarket
6%
Gemini
12%
entertainment2 sources$1.6M6pp gap
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
7%
— 0pp
Polymarket
4%
Gemini
8%
Manifold
10%
geopolitics3 sources$1.5M6pp gap
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
6%
— 0pp
Polymarket
6%
Gemini
12%
Manifold
3%
entertainment3 sources$1.4M9pp gap
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
11%
— 0pp
Polymarket
10%
Gemini
15%
Manifold
8%
entertainment3 sources$1.2M7pp gap
Eurovision Winner 2026
EVENT
Eurovision winner 2026? — Fi
42%
Finland
40%
Eurovision winner 2026? — De
15%
entertainment6 candidates +3 more
1
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