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OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,266
Markets
Data refreshed 2 hr ago
104 questions
Consensus 2+
W
Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
6%
Manifold
6%
financeManifold55 traders
W
Will S&P 500 increase in 2027? (next year)
75%
Manifold
75%
financeManifold14 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 8,000
9%
Manifold
9%
financeManifold17 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 9,000
3%
Manifold
3%
financeManifold17 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 10,000
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold17 traders
W
Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?
52%
Manifold
52%
financeManifold21 traders
W
Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
2%
Manifold
2%
financeManifold46 traders
S
Sum (Int( trillion dollar)) market cap companies — >21.5 at end of 2026/05
45%
Manifold
45%
financeManifold41 traders
S
Sum (Int( trillion dollar)) market cap companies — >22.5 at end of 2026/05
41%
Manifold
41%
financeManifold41 traders
S
Sum (Int( trillion dollar)) market cap companies — >23.5 at end of 2026/05
32%
Manifold
32%
financeManifold41 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of April 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 6500
84%
Manifold
84%
financeManifold16 traders
W
Will Nvidia be permitted to sell its Blackwell chips (B30A, B300, etc.) directly to China, before May 2026?
4%
Manifold
4%
financeManifold23 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 close up or down by more than 5% in a day in 2026?
48%
Manifold
48%
financeManifold15 traders
N
Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?
64%
Manifold
64%
financeManifold20 traders
W
Will S&P 500 increase in 2026?
65%
Manifold
65%
financeManifold96 traders
Y
Yuta Stock
95%
Manifold
95%
financeManifold39 traders
W
Will my startup RESMP.DEV become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?
4%
Manifold
4%
financeManifold71 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 dip below 6000 in 2026?
39%
Manifold
39%
financeManifold52 traders
I
In the next five years, will Nvidia's stock drop by 30% from its price at market close on 3/7/24?
14%
Manifold
14%
financeManifold96 traders
S
Sum (Int( trillion dollar)) market cap companies — >20.5 at end of 2026/04
59%
Manifold
59%
financeManifold41 traders
←3456→
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