OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
67,809
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 2 hr ago
56 questions
8
8Rbg1Qcirezjrtlgq0Su
Other
21%
2039
8%
2030
6%
geopolitics19 candidates +16 more
8
8Wkasj1Hjhggymlavxc4
A person has a moral right t
18%
We should be paying individu
17%
GOFAI could scale past machi
11%
geopolitics2 candidates
9
90A99M7Axcv6Lmigbflp
South China Sea
13%
Iran
13%
Pakistan
12%
geopolitics20 candidates +17 more
9
985Sepyhzy
Houthis
50%
Hezbollah
50%
Yemen
27%
geopolitics10 candidates +7 more
9Ci8Izs0Dh
China launches military dril
92%
Warnings from Western intell
86%
China engages in a partial/t
84%
geopolitics109 candidates +106 more
9
9Doq5Uoo22
No strikes, regime stays
84%
No strikes, regime falls
15%
geopolitics2 candidates
9
9E0Zngpetz
OpenAI
65%
Other
22%
xAI
7%
geopolitics3 candidates
9
9It2Ozghdo
Kharg
69%
Greater Tunb or Lesser Tunb
66%
Abu Musa
66%
geopolitics6 candidates +3 more
A
Amjvqjuklae47Kijozd5
United Kingdom
99%
Canada
99%
United States of America
92%
geopolitics13 candidates +10 more
A
Aq5Hcudcz2
Russia deliberately violated
92%
Russian drones entered Polis
4%
Russian drones were diverted
2%
geopolitics3 candidates
A
Auuur5Ydsl
United States
12%
France
5%
Canada
4%
geopolitics7 candidates +4 more
Aznzrirodwibbpqhdptc
No nuke Ukraine, No coup suc
94%
Yes nuke Ukraine, No coup su
6%
No nuke Ukraine, Yes coup su
0%
geopolitics3 candidates
C0Vo8Dvmobebe3E4E4Os
Jews control at least one na
91%
P320 pistol has a design fla
90%
Imane Khelif is intersex
88%
geopolitics9 candidates +6 more
C
Cgrohxybutrerhnrxki5
Gunplay
98%
Bond will be a man
98%
Bond drives a car
97%
geopolitics2 candidates
C
Cqzqe52S5G
Cuba
61%
Other Again
55%
Venezuela
53%
geopolitics10 candidates +7 more
Dj31Ane7Bh11Edgytt8C
Will Putin be in power 2028
82%
Will Zelensky be in power 20
40%
Will there be a generally ac
35%
geopolitics4 candidates +1 more
D
Dvzxpgtcjpywogymm5Fq
Japan
29%
Iran
10%
South Korea
10%
geopolitics16 candidates +13 more
E
E81Bnvm9Ils1Hj9Pr2M2
United States
38%
China
21%
Other
10%
geopolitics14 candidates +11 more
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Russia partial win
81%
Russia
10%
Ukraine
7%
geopolitics5 candidates +2 more
Erjl0Yl4N05Pfgjvhbgj
No, civil time based on atom
30%
Yes
24%
No, replaced with leap hours
14%
geopolitics2 candidates
123
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