OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
67,809
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 25 min ago
56 questions
0Edug0Apdq
mr beast hits 250M subs on y
96%
Alec Baldwin case ends
92%
2024 election is called by A
90%
geopolitics2 candidates
0
0Llqglnpqq
No
85%
Yes
15%
geopolitics2 candidates
0Xot8Ku3L9Twvhpt43Tx
---NO ARTICLE 5 BEFORE 2030-
52%
United States of America
18%
Other
7%
geopolitics11 candidates +8 more
0
0Y2Pqtldaa
Iran
40%
Israel
37%
USA
28%
geopolitics3 candidates
2
20Qnchcqlt
Diplomatic meeting between U
88%
Conditional on "Ceasefire th
60%
Trump announces a deal that
51%
geopolitics9 candidates +6 more
28Re50E8Nt
At least 10 other answers on
99%
NIH -25% funded in any year
96%
NOAA gets reduced, crippled,
94%
geopolitics4 candidates +1 more
2Jtbd5J3Ybyl2Ywne8Cz
Japan
66%
Germany
62%
South Korea
61%
geopolitics10 candidates +7 more
2
2Po2Thdnpq
Strait of Hormuz reopens to
30%
Houthis launch a confirmed a
29%
A US Navy vessel is struck o
27%
geopolitics4 candidates +1 more
2Q92Suaala
No
60%
Yes
29%
Yes, but Crimea,Donetsk,Luha
10%
geopolitics4 candidates +1 more
32M8Cer2T0Sgqa5Hqf3S
AI will be at least one of t
79%
It will start from a series
76%
After twenty years after its
67%
geopolitics3 candidates
3
3Cyk38Nnye4Hulkjdwu3
Israel
35%
North Korea
30%
United States
11%
geopolitics12 candidates +9 more
3N4L4Telqs09Yak4Wmxc
Trump dies
97%
bitcoin reaches $100K usd
97%
Bitcoin Reaches $150K USD
96%
geopolitics5 candidates +2 more
4
4F0Ad0Exbiqkvlwkeatm
Not before 2101
23%
2041–2050
12%
2051–2060
8%
geopolitics14 candidates +11 more
5
5L5Gpt8Pc9
USA does not control whole o
97%
<10sqkm of Greenlandic terri
92%
Resolves 50% if the US owns
49%
geopolitics4 candidates +1 more
5
5Uctcl2Znu
Benjamin Netanyahu alive as
99%
Russia remains a permanent m
96%
Kim Jong Un remains General
95%
geopolitics2 candidates
5Xmc10B6S6
<1 GW
40%
1 GW to 3 GW
30%
3 GW to 10 GW
14%
geopolitics5 candidates +2 more
6
65R3Tbza8Tb3Ezkwckbf
Other
45%
Iran
37%
People's Republic of China
11%
geopolitics8 candidates +5 more
6
6Pp7Naguvx5Nncwomoij
Rory Stewart will become UK
6%
next nuclear bomb test happe
4%
PLA attempts a large scale g
3%
geopolitics2 candidates
6
6Sp5Lr0Pa6
No
97%
Yes
3%
geopolitics2 candidates
8
8Bzbkkmyo7Eipj0Jaa6N
Later or never
82%
By 2100
39%
By 2050
21%
geopolitics4 candidates +1 more
123
Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology