G
Gc5I0Ctsu6
No
91%
war will be frozen
5%
Yes
4%
geopolitics3 candidates
G
Ggnqnhpeoy4Krgvbjld5
US sends at least $10B of ar
81%
GDP per capita still >2x Chi
60%
Successful invasion by PRC
52%
geopolitics3 candidates
Guyaly9Gl7Cm6Djnbfah
A south Korean citizen is ki
96%
North Korea launches rockets
94%
South Korea and US military
93%
geopolitics2 candidates
G
Gzq9Snol6Z
10+ US military deaths
99%
500+ Iranian civilians kille
99%
50+ civilians killed in neut
78%
geopolitics5 candidates +2 more
H
Hc9606Sc9Y
No oil blockade, regime stay
52%
Oil blockade, regime stays
18%
No oil blockade, regime chan
17%
geopolitics4 candidates +1 more
I
Ill5Zclsn9
Sam Altman still CEO through
99%
earthquake 7.0+ magnitude
99%
large tech company announces
97%
geopolitics4 candidates +1 more
Ilqaayg2Ou
Russia
24%
Israel
18%
Iran
13%
geopolitics11 candidates +8 more
I
Iqalpcn9Th
Only one of these will happe
11%
executives/government coalit
10%
EU AI Act fully enters into
8%
geopolitics2 candidates
I
Is8E6Itq52
side most aligned with the d
30%
side most aligned with the R
28%
No winner between domestic f
22%
geopolitics2 candidates
I
Isot6O9Drp
Electoral democracy
85%
Liberal democracy
15%
Closed autocracy
0%
geopolitics2 candidates
Ixfz6059Uit8Oa479Iej
Crewed mission to Phobos
82%
USA adds 52nd state
77%
24th Doctor Who regenerates
74%
geopolitics2 candidates
K
K5Cpmdn4Dlh2Y26Yynex
Kyiv (oblast)
91%
Chernihiv
91%
Odessa
90%
geopolitics11 candidates +8 more
L
Llrh58A5S5
Explicit nuclear reference (
96%
Iran NPT withdrawal notice (
37%
Explicit nuclear-use threat
30%
geopolitics5 candidates +2 more
Ln6Hqlp2Lz
>2028
85%
Q3 2026
2%
Q1 2026
1%
geopolitics23 candidates +20 more
L
Lntqy6Lq0N
Regular opposition broadcast
69%
One or more Town(s), city(s
56%
A brigade or base commander
56%
geopolitics5 candidates +2 more
N
N0Tunn09Ss
Opening of navigation in the
60%
A (phased) lifting of specif
57%
A formal commitment to end I
55%
geopolitics3 candidates