By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship? — 2029/01/01
91%
Manifold
91%
scienceManifold29 traders
W
Will there be another global pandemic before 2030?
35%
Manifold
35%
scienceManifold29 traders
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched? — By Dec 31, 2026
98%
Manifold
98%
scienceManifold27 traders
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time? — Before 2026-05-01
1%
Manifold
1%
scienceManifold75 traders
W
Will SpaceX attempt to deploy Starlink satellites in the first fully-orbital Starship–SuperHeavy flight?
78%
Manifold
78%
scienceManifold73 traders
[
[ACX 2026] Will NASA's Artemis II complete its mission successfully before 2027?
98%
Manifold
98%
scienceManifold70 traders
W
Will NASA start building a moon base before 2036?
60%
Manifold
60%
scienceManifold14 traders
W
Will humans make breakthroughs, that would at minimum double the lifespan of a willing 30yo with high resources?
14%
Manifold
14%
scienceManifold14 traders
By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship? — 2026/10/01
13%
Manifold
13%
scienceManifold29 traders
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched? — By Dec 31, 2025
98%
Manifold
98%
scienceManifold27 traders
W
Will a human walk on Mars before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99?
70%
Manifold
70%
scienceManifold27 traders
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched? — By Dec 31, 2027
99%
Manifold
99%
scienceManifold27 traders
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched? — By Dec 31, 2028
99%
Manifold
99%
scienceManifold27 traders
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched? — By Dec 31, 2029
99%
Manifold
99%
scienceManifold27 traders
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched? — By Dec 31, 2030
99%
Manifold
99%
scienceManifold27 traders
W
Will Elon Musk step foot on Mars AND get a chip implanted in his brain before he passes away?
10%
Manifold
10%
scienceManifold27 traders
[
[ACX 2026] Will SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?
26%
Manifold
26%
scienceManifold25 traders
W
Will we get fusion reactors before 2041?
71%
Manifold
71%
scienceManifold26 traders
W
Will SpaceX launch a Starship to Mars by the end of 2026?
1%
Manifold
1%
scienceManifold21 traders
W
Will an organization besides SpaceX successfully develop a resuable orbital rocket booster launch system by end of 2026?
98%
Manifold
98%
scienceManifold24 traders