W
Will Elon Musk step foot on Mars before he passes away?
15%
Manifold
15%
scienceManifold58 traders
🚨
🚨UPDATE MARCH 2026🚨 Will a decipherment of the Voynich Manuscript be scientifically recognized by end of Dec 31, 2026
3%
Manifold
3%
scienceManifold51 traders
W
Will LLMs estimate a probability over 40% that the origin of COVID was a lab leak in 2034?
37%
Manifold
37%
scienceManifold33 traders
W
Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?
71%
Manifold
71%
scienceManifold175 traders
W
Will New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)
82%
Manifold
82%
scienceManifold80 traders
W
Will Starship reach Mars by 2030?
17%
Manifold
17%
scienceManifold276 traders
W
Will NASA announce that there is life on K2-18b with a high degree probability before January 1st, 2027?
2%
Manifold
2%
scienceManifold15 traders
W
Will China claim to have discovered life on Mars before 2035?
20%
Manifold
20%
scienceManifold15 traders
W
Will a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030?
27%
Manifold
27%
scienceManifold32 traders
W
Will US life expectancy recover from its 2020-2021 "Covid" drop to exceed its 2019 level by 2029?
80%
Manifold
80%
scienceManifold47 traders
W
Will a humanoid robot set foot on Mars before a biological human does?
78%
Manifold
78%
scienceManifold54 traders
W
Will the scientific community accept aspects of quantum consciousness by 2030? 🧠🔬⚛️🌀
11%
Manifold
11%
scienceManifold43 traders
D
Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?
25%
Manifold
25%
scienceManifold2173 traders
By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster? — 12
1%
Manifold
1%
scienceManifold95 traders
By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster? — 15
46%
Manifold
46%
scienceManifold95 traders
W
Will a human step foot on Mars by 2030?
6%
Manifold
6%
scienceManifold136 traders
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time? — Before 2026-10-01
45%
Manifold
45%
scienceManifold75 traders
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time? — Before 2027-01-01
65%
Manifold
65%
scienceManifold75 traders
W
Will the Russian cancer vaccine work?
17%
Manifold
17%
scienceManifold33 traders
When will SpaceX land on the moon? — 2029
21%
Manifold
21%
scienceManifold33 traders