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Cross-platform prediction market consensus.

Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,934
Markets
Data refreshed 2 hr ago
505 questions
Consensus 2+
P
Premier League 2025/26 - Will Manchester United finish in the top 5?
93%
Manifold
93%
sportsManifold15 traders
W
Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026? — y ≥ 3.5%
66%
Manifold
66%
sportsManifold14 traders
W
Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026? — y ≥ 4.0%
43%
Manifold
43%
sportsManifold14 traders
W
Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026? — y ≥ 4.5%
26%
Manifold
26%
sportsManifold14 traders
W
Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026? — y ≥ 5.0%
20%
Manifold
20%
sportsManifold14 traders
W
Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026? — y ≥ 5.5%
13%
Manifold
13%
sportsManifold14 traders
W
Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026? — y ≥ 6.0%
11%
Manifold
11%
sportsManifold14 traders
W
Will Spurs aka Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the Premier League at the end of the 25/26 season?
27%
Manifold
27%
sportsManifold13 traders
W
Will Putin visit the US for a 2026 FIFA World Cup match or event?
8%
Manifold
8%
sportsManifold14 traders
U
US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 1, 2029
4%
Manifold
4%
sportsManifold29 traders
W
Will the NFL ban the Tush Push before next season?
4%
Manifold
4%
sportsManifold14 traders
I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by…? — May 15
75%
Manifold
75%
sportsManifold31 traders
W
Will Destiny get unbanned on Twitch by EoY 2026?
12%
Manifold
12%
sportsManifold14 traders
W
Will US inflation go above 3% before unemployment goes below 4%?
99%
Manifold
99%
sportsManifold99 traders
D
Does Victor Wembanyama win NBA MVP by 2030
88%
Manifold
88%
sportsManifold26 traders
[
[ACX 2026] Will the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be a country that has never won before?
19%
Manifold
19%
sportsManifold23 traders
W
Will the 2027 MLB season be delayed due to issues over the new CBA?
63%
Manifold
63%
sportsManifold11 traders
W
Will US inflation be over 4% for the next 5 years?
1%
Manifold
1%
sportsManifold25 traders
W
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League?
7%
Manifold
7%
sportsManifold22 traders
W
Will Formula 1 "Go Electric" (Remove Engines) before 2050?
56%
Manifold
56%
sportsManifold26 traders
←45678→
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