Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
5%
Gemini
7%
Manifold
4%
politics3 sources$3.3M3pp gap
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
5%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
Gemini
7%
Manifold
4%
sports3 sources$3.0M4pp gap
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
32%
— 0ppPolymarket
30%
Gemini
37%
Manifold
30%
sports3 sources$2.6M7pp gap
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
18%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
12%
Gemini
22%
Manifold
22%
sports3 sources$2.5M10pp gap
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
7%
— 0ppPolymarket
6%
Gemini
11%
Manifold
5%
sports3 sources$2.3M6pp gap
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Gemini
3%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$1.5M2pp gap
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
2%
Gemini
7%
Manifold
3%
sports3 sources$1.5M5pp gap
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
47%
Polymarket
44%
Manifold
47%
Gemini
49%
sports3 sources$1.4M4pp gap
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Gemini
4%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$1.4M3pp gap
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
7%
— 0ppPolymarket
7%
Gemini
12%
Manifold
4%
sports3 sources$1.3M8pp gap
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
2%
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
4%
sports3 sources$1.3M3pp gap
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
5%
Gemini
10%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$1.3M9pp gap
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
2%
Manifold
5%
Gemini
6%
sports3 sources$1.3M3pp gap
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
Gemini
4%
sports3 sources$1.2M3pp gap
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
Gemini
4%
sports3 sources$1.2M3pp gap
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Gemini
4%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$1.1M3pp gap
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
Gemini
4%
sports3 sources$1.0M3pp gap
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
3%
↑ 1ppManifold
1%
Gemini
7%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
4%
politics4 sources$617K6pp gap
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
77%
Polymarket
74%
Gemini
80%
Manifold
77%
sports3 sources$529K7pp gap
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
3%
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
3%
Gemini
5%
sports3 sources$410K4pp gap