Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
56%
↓ 1ppManifold
38%
Gemini
85%
Polymarket
36%
politics3 sources$3.1M48pp gap
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
5%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
Gemini
7%
Manifold
4%
sports3 sources$3.0M4pp gap
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
32%
— 0ppPolymarket
30%
Gemini
37%
Manifold
30%
sports3 sources$2.6M7pp gap
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
7%
— 0ppPolymarket
6%
Gemini
11%
Manifold
5%
sports3 sources$2.3M6pp gap
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
2%
Gemini
7%
Manifold
3%
sports3 sources$1.5M5pp gap
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
47%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
44%
Manifold
47%
Gemini
49%
sports3 sources$1.4M4pp gap
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
7%
— 0ppPolymarket
7%
Gemini
12%
Manifold
4%
sports3 sources$1.3M8pp gap
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
2%
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
4%
sports3 sources$1.3M3pp gap
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
4%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
5%
Gemini
10%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$1.3M9pp gap
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
2%
Manifold
5%
Gemini
6%
sports3 sources$1.3M3pp gap
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
17%
Polymarket
10%
Manifold
28%
crypto2 sources$788K19pp gap
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
60%
Manifold
59%
Polymarket
60%
politics2 sources$710K1pp gap
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
3%
↓ 1ppManifold
8%
Polymarket
1%
Predictit
3%
politics3 sources$707K7pp gap
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
77%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
74%
Gemini
80%
Manifold
77%
sports3 sources$528K7pp gap
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
90%
Manifold
81%
Polymarket
95%
science2 sources$482K14pp gap
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
3%
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
3%
Gemini
5%
sports3 sources$410K4pp gap
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
87%
↑ 1ppManifold
86%
Gemini
88%
Polymarket
88%
politics3 sources$90K2pp gap
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
31%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
32%
Manifold
31%
politics2 sources$85K0pp gap
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
54%
↑ 3ppPolymarket
56%
Manifold
52%
politics2 sources$31K4pp gap
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
14%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
13%
Manifold
15%
politics2 sources$21K2pp gap