Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
4%
Polymarket
3%
Manifold
6%
ai2 sources$972K3pp gap
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
Manifold
2%
ai2 sources$882K1pp gap
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
49%
↑ 5ppPolymarket
68%
Manifold
31%
ai2 sources$620K37pp gap
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
64%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
64%
Manifold
64%
ai2 sources$594K0pp gap
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
7%
— 0ppPolymarket
10%
Manifold
5%
ai2 sources$586K4pp gap
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
32%
↑ 4ppManifold
25%
Polymarket
38%
ai2 sources$421K13pp gap
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
21%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
19%
Manifold
24%
ai2 sources$328K5pp gap
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
ai2 sources$272K0pp gap
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
10%
↑ 3ppPolymarket
12%
Manifold
7%
ai2 sources$137K5pp gap
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
0%
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
1%
ai2 sources$132K0pp gap