Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
4%
Polymarket
3%
Manifold
6%
ai2 sources$972K3pp gap
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
Manifold
2%
ai2 sources$882K1pp gap
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
49%
↑ 5ppPolymarket
68%
Manifold
31%
ai2 sources$620K37pp gap
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
65%
Polymarket
65%
Manifold
64%
ai2 sources$594K1pp gap
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
7%
↓ 6ppPolymarket
10%
Manifold
5%
ai2 sources$586K4pp gap
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
31%
↓ 1ppManifold
26%
Polymarket
38%
ai2 sources$421K12pp gap
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
22%
Polymarket
20%
Manifold
24%
ai2 sources$327K4pp gap
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
ai2 sources$270K0pp gap
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
8%
Polymarket
10%
Manifold
7%
ai2 sources$136K2pp gap
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
0%
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
1%
ai2 sources$132K0pp gap