AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2026?
18%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
18%
aiPolymarket$2.0M
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
4%
Polymarket
3%
Manifold
6%
ai2 sources$972K3pp gap
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
Manifold
2%
ai2 sources$882K1pp gap
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
14%
↓ 46ppPolymarket
14%
aiPolymarket$829K
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
49%
↑ 5ppPolymarket
68%
Manifold
31%
ai2 sources$620K37pp gap
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
65%
— 0ppPolymarket
65%
Manifold
64%
ai2 sources$594K1pp gap
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
7%
↓ 17ppPolymarket
10%
Manifold
5%
ai2 sources$586K4pp gap
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
31%
↓ 5ppManifold
27%
Polymarket
36%
ai2 sources$421K10pp gap
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
22%
Polymarket
20%
Manifold
24%
ai2 sources$327K4pp gap
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
ai2 sources$270K0pp gap
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
22%
Polymarket
22%
aiPolymarket$257K
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
32%
↓ 40ppPolymarket
32%
aiPolymarket$231K
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
4%
aiPolymarket$228K
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
6%
↓ 12ppPolymarket
6%
aiPolymarket$195K
GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?
95%
— 0ppPolymarket
95%
aiPolymarket$192K
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
82%
Polymarket
82%
aiPolymarket$152K
Anthropic CEO arrested?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
aiPolymarket$146K
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
8%
Polymarket
10%
Manifold
7%
ai2 sources$136K2pp gap
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
0%
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
1%
ai2 sources$132K0pp gap
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
53%
↓ 26ppPolymarket
53%
aiPolymarket$109K