AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2026?
20%
— 0ppPolymarket
20%
aiPolymarket$2.0M
W
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
4%
Polymarket
3%
Manifold
6%
ai2 sources$972K3pp gap
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
4%
Manifold
2%
ai2 sources$880K1pp gap
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
14%
↓ 34ppPolymarket
14%
aiPolymarket$787K
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
49%
↑ 5ppPolymarket
68%
Manifold
31%
ai2 sources$620K37pp gap
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
64%
↑ 4ppPolymarket
65%
Manifold
64%
ai2 sources$594K1pp gap
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
7%
— 0ppPolymarket
10%
Manifold
5%
ai2 sources$586K4pp gap
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
30%
↓ 2ppManifold
26%
Polymarket
34%
ai2 sources$421K9pp gap
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
22%
Polymarket
20%
Manifold
24%
ai2 sources$327K4pp gap
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
ai2 sources$269K0pp gap
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
22%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
22%
aiPolymarket$257K
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
4%
aiPolymarket$228K
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
26%
↓ 41ppPolymarket
26%
aiPolymarket$218K
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
14%
↓ 12ppPolymarket
14%
aiPolymarket$189K
GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?
95%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
95%
aiPolymarket$188K
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
85%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
85%
aiPolymarket$151K
Anthropic CEO arrested?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
aiPolymarket$146K
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
8%
↓ 4ppPolymarket
10%
Manifold
7%
ai2 sources$135K2pp gap
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
0%
— 0ppPolymarket
0%
Manifold
1%
ai2 sources$132K0pp gap
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?
7%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
7%
aiPolymarket$105K