OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
66,938
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 25 min ago
118 questions
Which Company Has The Best AI Model End Of April
EVENT
Anthropic have the best AI m
92%
OpenAI have the best AI mode
4%
Google have the best AI mode
2%
ai13 candidates +10 more$5.8M+$305K/24h
Which Company Has Best AI Model End Of June
EVENT
Anthropic have the best AI m
65%
Google have the best AI mode
20%
OpenAI have the best AI mode
10%
ai10 candidates +7 more$3.1M+$23K/24h
Which Companies Will Be Acquired Before 2027
EVENT
Caesars Entertainment, Inc.
51%
Pizza Hut
40%
Ubisoft
30%
ai3 candidates $3.0M+$10K/24h
AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2026?
20%
— 0pp
Polymarket
20%
aiPolymarket$2.0M
Openai IPO Closing Market Cap
EVENT
OpenAI not IPO by December 3
60%
OpenAI’s market cap
13%
OpenAI’s market cap
6%
ai7 candidates +4 more$1.6M+$898/24h
Openai IPO Closing Market Cap Above
EVENT
OpenAI IPO closing market ca
68%
OpenAI IPO closing market ca
56%
OpenAI IPO closing market ca
52%
ai5 candidates +2 more$1.5M+$9K/24h
Which Companies Will Have A 1 AI Model By June
EVENT
OpenAI have a #1 AI model by
34%
xAI have a #1 AI model by Ju
10%
DeepSeek have a #1 AI model
9%
ai10 candidates +7 more$1.2M+$980/24h
W
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
4%
Polymarket
3%
Manifold
6%
ai2 sources$972K3pp gap
Which Company Has The 1 AI Model End Of April Style Control On
EVENT
Anthropic have the #1 AI mod
88%
OpenAI have the #1 AI model
6%
Google have the #1 AI model
4%
ai13 candidates +10 more$961K+$14K/24h
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
EVENT
Anthropic not IPO by June 30
97%
Anthropic’s market cap
1%
Anthropic’s market cap
1%
ai7 candidates +4 more$951K+$5K/24h
Which Company Has Top AI Model End Of June Style Control On
EVENT
Anthropic have the top AI mo
50%
Google have the top AI model
25%
OpenAI have the top AI model
12%
ai10 candidates +7 more$933K+$5K/24h
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
3%
— 0pp
Polymarket
4%
Manifold
2%
ai2 sources$880K1pp gap
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
14%
↓ 34pp
Polymarket
14%
aiPolymarket$787K
Largest IPO By Market Cap In 2026
EVENT
SpaceX have the highest IPO
90%
OpenAI have the highest IPO
3%
Anthropic have the highest I
2%
ai3 candidates $702K+$473/24h
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
49%
↑ 5pp
Polymarket
68%
Manifold
31%
ai2 sources$620K37pp gap
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
64%
↑ 4pp
Polymarket
65%
Manifold
64%
ai2 sources$594K1pp gap
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
7%
— 0pp
Polymarket
10%
Manifold
5%
ai2 sources$586K4pp gap
Ipos Before 2027
EVENT
SpaceX (Space Exploration Te
95%
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
94%
Discord IPO before 2027?
63%
ai3 candidates $511K+$3K/24h
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
30%
↓ 2pp
Manifold
26%
Polymarket
34%
ai2 sources$421K9pp gap
Which Company Has Second Best AI Model End Of June
EVENT
Anthropic have the second be
47%
Google have the second best
30%
OpenAI have the second best
12%
ai10 candidates +7 more$343K+$806/24h
123
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