Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
0%
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
1%
economics2 sources$21.6M0pp gap
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
economics2 sources$14.6M0pp gap
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
economics2 sources$14.3M1pp gap
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
97%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
98%
Manifold
97%
economics2 sources$14.1M0pp gap
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
29%
↑ 4ppPolymarket
35%
Manifold
24%
economics2 sources$3.0M12pp gap
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
18%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
12%
Manifold
26%
economics2 sources$876K14pp gap
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?
1%
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
4%
economics2 sources$142K4pp gap
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?
92%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
95%
Manifold
89%
economics2 sources$89K6pp gap
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?
6%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
5%
Manifold
7%
economics2 sources$81K2pp gap