Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
49%
Manifold
49%
Polymarket
48%
entertainment2 sources$11.4M1pp gap
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
15%
↑ 5ppPolymarket
10%
Gemini
30%
Manifold
25%
entertainment3 sources$2.8M20pp gap
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainment2 sources$783K0pp gap
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
1%
↑ 1ppManifold
1%
Polymarket
1%
other2 sources$315K1pp gap
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?
5%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
Manifold
16%
entertainment2 sources$258K13pp gap
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?
0%
— 0ppManifold
0%
Polymarket
0%
other2 sources$225K0pp gap
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
5%
entertainment2 sources$157K4pp gap
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
17%
↑ 4ppPolymarket
12%
Manifold
33%
entertainment2 sources$143K21pp gap
James Norton announced as next James Bond?
0%
— 0ppPolymarket
0%
Manifold
1%
entertainment2 sources$122K1pp gap
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?
10%
↑ 10ppPolymarket
11%
Manifold
7%
entertainment2 sources$117K3pp gap
Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?
0%
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
1%
entertainment2 sources$88K1pp gap
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainment2 sources$84K0pp gap
Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?
1%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
0%
Manifold
2%
entertainment2 sources$79K2pp gap
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?
0%
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
2%
entertainment2 sources$47K2pp gap
Theo James announced as next James Bond?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
2%
entertainment2 sources$40K1pp gap