Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
11%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
11%
Gemini
15%
Manifold
8%
entertainment3 sources$1.2M7pp gap
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
Manifold
3%
entertainment2 sources$1.2M0pp gap
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
Manifold
3%
entertainment2 sources$1.2M1pp gap
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
2%
Manifold
1%
entertainment2 sources$1.0M1pp gap
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
49%
↑ 5ppPolymarket
68%
Manifold
31%
ai2 sources$620K37pp gap
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainment2 sources$594K0pp gap
W
Will Kesha represent the US at Eurovision 2026?
2%
Manifold
2%
entertainmentManifold25 traders
W
Which will come first, a female POTUS (Yes) or GTA 6 (No)?
2%
Manifold
2%
entertainmentManifold25 traders
G
GTA 6 released before August 1, 2026?
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainmentManifold23 traders
W
Will Kanye release a new album in 2026?
81%
Manifold
81%
entertainmentManifold18 traders
W
Will Disney/Universal win their lawsuit against Midjourney
25%
Manifold
25%
entertainmentManifold14 traders
W
Will Minecraft still be the best-selling video game by the end of 2026?
90%
Manifold
90%
entertainmentManifold23 traders
W
Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2027?
73%
Manifold
73%
entertainmentManifold23 traders
G
GTA VI to release by November 19, 2026?
87%
Manifold
87%
entertainmentManifold14 traders
O
Oil $150 before GTA VI
36%
Manifold
36%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
W
What will be true about The Super Mario Galaxy Movie? [Add Answers!] — Beach bowl galaxy is featured
13%
Manifold
13%
entertainmentManifold21 traders
W
Will the Community movie get a 75 or higher on Metacritic?
40%
Manifold
40%
entertainmentManifold39 traders
W
Will all five Eurovision 2026 boycotting countries maintain their boycott?
88%
Manifold
88%
entertainmentManifold19 traders
W
Will the winner of Eurovision 2026 come from Europe?
87%
Manifold
87%
entertainmentManifold20 traders
W
Will the Oscars have an award for stunt workers by 2030?
84%
Manifold
84%
entertainmentManifold13 traders