OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,266
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 1 hr ago
177 questions
S
SOAI#7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash
64%
Manifold
64%
entertainmentManifold29 traders
W
Will Leo DiCaprio and Timothee Chalamet ever star in a movie together?
39%
Manifold
39%
entertainmentManifold29 traders
W
Will the sequel to The Super Mario Bros. Movie gross more worldwide at the box office than the first film?
49%
Manifold
49%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
W
Will a Monopoly movie release by end of August 2026?
22%
Manifold
22%
entertainmentManifold31 traders
G
GTA 6 released before GPT 6?
61%
Manifold
61%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
G
GTA VI will have a mission involving the launch of a spaceship (probably belonging to a satirical billionaire)
71%
Manifold
71%
entertainmentManifold27 traders
W
Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2027?
73%
Manifold
73%
entertainmentManifold23 traders
W
Will Kesha represent the US at Eurovision 2026?
2%
Manifold
2%
entertainmentManifold25 traders
W
Which will come first, a female POTUS (Yes) or GTA 6 (No)?
2%
Manifold
2%
entertainmentManifold25 traders
W
Will Minecraft still be the best-selling video game by the end of 2026?
90%
Manifold
90%
entertainmentManifold23 traders
G
GTA 6 released before August 1, 2026?
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainmentManifold23 traders
G
GTA VI will have Spotify integration for the in-game radio
17%
Manifold
17%
entertainmentManifold24 traders
K
Keir starmer UK PM on day GTA 6 is released?
42%
Manifold
42%
entertainmentManifold16 traders
B
By 2028, will fully AI generated explicit NSFW movies be commonplace?
70%
Manifold
70%
entertainmentManifold64 traders
[
[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?
31%
Manifold
31%
entertainmentManifold328 traders
W
Will Netflix remain the most popular video streaming platform at the end of 2027?
62%
Manifold
62%
entertainmentManifold19 traders
G
Gta 6 man strip clubs
90%
Manifold
90%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
I
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
71%
Manifold
71%
entertainmentManifold54 traders
I
In mid 2026, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short film to a prompt?
15%
Manifold
15%
entertainmentManifold46 traders
When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users? — 2027
36%
Manifold
36%
entertainmentManifold37 traders
45678
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