OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
67,809
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 28 min ago
174 questions
5
5L5Gpt8Pc9
USA does not control whole o
97%
<10sqkm of Greenlandic terri
92%
Resolves 50% if the US owns
49%
geopolitics4 candidates +1 more
5
5Uctcl2Znu
Benjamin Netanyahu alive as
99%
Russia remains a permanent m
96%
Kim Jong Un remains General
95%
geopolitics2 candidates
5Xmc10B6S6
<1 GW
40%
1 GW to 3 GW
30%
3 GW to 10 GW
14%
geopolitics5 candidates +2 more
6
65R3Tbza8Tb3Ezkwckbf
Other
45%
Iran
37%
People's Republic of China
11%
geopolitics8 candidates +5 more
6
6Pp7Naguvx5Nncwomoij
Rory Stewart will become UK
6%
next nuclear bomb test happe
4%
PLA attempts a large scale g
3%
geopolitics2 candidates
6
6Sp5Lr0Pa6
No
97%
Yes
3%
geopolitics2 candidates
8
8Bzbkkmyo7Eipj0Jaa6N
Later or never
82%
By 2100
39%
By 2050
21%
geopolitics4 candidates +1 more
8
8Rbg1Qcirezjrtlgq0Su
Other
21%
2039
8%
2030
6%
geopolitics19 candidates +16 more
8
8Wkasj1Hjhggymlavxc4
A person has a moral right t
18%
We should be paying individu
17%
GOFAI could scale past machi
11%
geopolitics2 candidates
9
90A99M7Axcv6Lmigbflp
South China Sea
13%
Iran
13%
Pakistan
12%
geopolitics20 candidates +17 more
9
985Sepyhzy
Hezbollah
50%
Houthis
50%
Yemen
27%
geopolitics10 candidates +7 more
9Ci8Izs0Dh
China launches military dril
92%
Warnings from Western intell
86%
China engages in a partial/t
84%
geopolitics109 candidates +106 more
9
9Doq5Uoo22
No strikes, regime stays
84%
No strikes, regime falls
15%
geopolitics2 candidates
9
9E0Zngpetz
OpenAI
65%
Other
22%
xAI
7%
geopolitics3 candidates
9
9It2Ozghdo
Kharg
69%
Greater Tunb or Lesser Tunb
66%
Abu Musa
66%
geopolitics6 candidates +3 more
A
Amjvqjuklae47Kijozd5
United Kingdom
99%
Canada
99%
United States of America
92%
geopolitics13 candidates +10 more
A
Aq5Hcudcz2
Russia deliberately violated
92%
Russian drones entered Polis
4%
Russian drones were diverted
2%
geopolitics3 candidates
A
Auuur5Ydsl
United States
12%
France
5%
Canada
4%
geopolitics7 candidates +4 more
Aznzrirodwibbpqhdptc
No nuke Ukraine, No coup suc
94%
Yes nuke Ukraine, No coup su
6%
No nuke Ukraine, Yes coup su
0%
geopolitics3 candidates
C0Vo8Dvmobebe3E4E4Os
Jews control at least one na
91%
P320 pistol has a design fla
90%
Imane Khelif is intersex
88%
geopolitics9 candidates +6 more
1234
Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology