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Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
66,938
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 37 min ago
2 questions
ShowAllSingle MarketsMulti-OutcomeConsensus 2+
SortTrendingMost SourcesBiggest GapHighest ProbNewest
PlatformAll PlatformsGeminiManifold MarketsPolymarketPredictIt
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
10%
↓ 2pp
Gemini
13%
Manifold
5%
Polymarket
16%
other3 sources$9.4M12pp gap
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
7%
— 0pp
Polymarket
4%
Gemini
8%
Manifold
10%
geopolitics3 sources$1.5M6pp gap
1
Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

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