OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
67,809
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 28 min ago
174 questions
C
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Gunplay
98%
Bond will be a man
98%
Bond drives a car
97%
geopolitics2 candidates
C
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Cuba
61%
Other Again
55%
Venezuela
53%
geopolitics10 candidates +7 more
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Will Putin be in power 2028
82%
Will Zelensky be in power 20
40%
Will there be a generally ac
35%
geopolitics4 candidates +1 more
D
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Japan
29%
Iran
10%
South Korea
10%
geopolitics16 candidates +13 more
E
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United States
38%
China
21%
Other
10%
geopolitics14 candidates +11 more
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Russia partial win
81%
Russia
10%
Ukraine
7%
geopolitics5 candidates +2 more
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No, civil time based on atom
30%
Yes
24%
No, replaced with leap hours
14%
geopolitics2 candidates
G
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No
91%
war will be frozen
5%
Yes
4%
geopolitics3 candidates
G
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US sends at least $10B of ar
81%
GDP per capita still >2x Chi
60%
Successful invasion by PRC
52%
geopolitics3 candidates
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A south Korean citizen is ki
96%
North Korea launches rockets
94%
South Korea and US military
93%
geopolitics2 candidates
G
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500+ Iranian civilians kille
99%
10+ US military deaths
99%
50+ civilians killed in neut
78%
geopolitics5 candidates +2 more
H
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No oil blockade, regime stay
52%
Oil blockade, regime stays
18%
No oil blockade, regime chan
17%
geopolitics4 candidates +1 more
I
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Sam Altman still CEO through
99%
earthquake 7.0+ magnitude
99%
large tech company announces
97%
geopolitics4 candidates +1 more
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Russia
24%
Israel
18%
Iran
13%
geopolitics11 candidates +8 more
I
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Only one of these will happe
11%
executives/government coalit
10%
EU AI Act fully enters into
8%
geopolitics2 candidates
I
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side most aligned with the d
30%
side most aligned with the R
28%
No winner between domestic f
22%
geopolitics2 candidates
I
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Electoral democracy
85%
Liberal democracy
15%
Closed autocracy
0%
geopolitics2 candidates
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Crewed mission to Phobos
82%
USA adds 52nd state
77%
24th Doctor Who regenerates
74%
geopolitics2 candidates
K
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Kyiv (oblast)
91%
Chernihiv
91%
Odessa
90%
geopolitics11 candidates +8 more
L
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Explicit nuclear reference (
96%
Iran NPT withdrawal notice (
37%
Explicit nuclear-use threat
30%
geopolitics5 candidates +2 more
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