Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
24%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
16%
Manifold
33%
other2 sources$657K17pp gap
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5
74%
Polymarket
20%
Gemini
97%
sports2 sources$641K77pp gap
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
3%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
2%
Gemini
5%
sports2 sources$600K3pp gap
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
94%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
97%
Manifold
96%
Gemini
86%
other3 sources$597K11pp gap
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
38%
↓ 0ppManifold
38%
Polymarket
38%
other2 sources$580K1pp gap
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
2%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Gemini
3%
sports2 sources$568K2pp gap
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
60%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
58%
Gemini
61%
sports2 sources$490K3pp gap
Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
2%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Gemini
3%
sports2 sources$457K2pp gap
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
64%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
72%
Manifold
55%
other2 sources$421K17pp gap
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
19%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
18%
Gemini
20%
sports2 sources$418K2pp gap
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
Gemini
6%
sports2 sources$410K3pp gap
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
5%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
3%
Gemini
13%
Manifold
3%
other3 sources$376K10pp gap
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?
7%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
2%
Manifold
19%
other2 sources$226K17pp gap
James Norton announced as next James Bond?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
2%
Manifold
0%
other2 sources$108K2pp gap
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?
5%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
5%
Manifold
6%
other2 sources$97K1pp gap
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?
0%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
0%
other2 sources$90K1pp gap
Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
0%
Manifold
1%
other2 sources$82K1pp gap
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?
0%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
0%
other2 sources$71K0pp gap
Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?
0%
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
1%
other2 sources$66K0pp gap
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
39%
↓ 10ppPolymarket
39%
Manifold
29%
Gemini
50%
sports3 sources$45K21pp gap