OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus.

Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,934
Markets
Data refreshed 9 min ago
2,532 questions
Consensus 2+
Will Reuben Bain Jr. be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
3%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
10%
sports3 sources$4K9pp gap
Will Divya Deshmukh win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?
1%
— 0pp
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
2%
other2 sources$3K0pp gap
Will Zhu Jiner win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?
37%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
37%
Manifold
36%
other2 sources$3K1pp gap
Will Kateryna Lagno win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?
7%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
8%
Manifold
7%
other2 sources$3K1pp gap
Will Bibisara Assaubayeva win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?
6%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
5%
Manifold
6%
other2 sources$2K1pp gap
Will Aleksandra Goryachkina win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?
7%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
8%
Manifold
6%
other2 sources$2K2pp gap
Will Tan Zhongyi win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?
1%
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
1%
other2 sources$2K1pp gap
Will Mainz win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?
12%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
18%
Manifold
7%
other2 sources$2K11pp gap
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?
13%
↓ 4pp
Polymarket
21%
Manifold
8%
other2 sources$1K13pp gap
Who will be in the top five picks of the 2026 NFL Draft? — Sonny Styles
46%
Manifold
42%
Gemini
50%
sports2 sources8pp gap
GPT-6 released in 2026?
69%
Manifold
74%
Gemini
64%
other2 sources11pp gap
N
NCAA Final - UConn vs Michigan
27%
Manifold
27%
Gemini
27%
other2 sources0pp gap
Who will be in the top five picks of the 2026 NFL Draft? — David Bailey, Edge, Texas Tech
79%
Manifold
61%
Gemini
90%
sports2 sources29pp gap
Who will be in the top five picks of the 2026 NFL Draft? — Jeremiyah Love, RB, Notre Dame
59%
Manifold
47%
Gemini
70%
sports2 sources23pp gap
Who will be in the top five picks of the 2026 NFL Draft? — Carnell Tate, WR, Ohio State
28%
Manifold
22%
Gemini
36%
sports2 sources14pp gap
Who will be in the top five picks of the 2026 NFL Draft? — Caleb Downs
28%
Manifold
23%
Gemini
34%
sports2 sources11pp gap
Who will be in the top five picks of the 2026 NFL Draft? — Mansoor Delane, CB, LSU
18%
Manifold
14%
Gemini
23%
sports2 sources9pp gap
Survivor 50 winner? — Cirie Fields
14%
Manifold
9%
Gemini
22%
other2 sources13pp gap
Who will be in the top five picks of the 2026 NFL Draft? — Ty Simpson, QB, Alabama
8%
Manifold
5%
Gemini
13%
sports2 sources8pp gap
Who will be in the top five picks of the 2026 NFL Draft? — Francis Mauigoa, OT, Miami
52%
Manifold
56%
Gemini
48%
sports2 sources8pp gap
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